Premier League · AI model

Beat the odds with calibrated football predictions.

WinMatic ingests thousands of Premier League matches, learns team strength, and compares its probabilities to the market to surface value bets automatically. Every prediction is logged, tracked, and auditable.

Open predictor → Scan value bets

Backtest hit rate

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on – test matches

Market hit rate

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same fixtures, same odds

Edge vs market

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backtested on thousands of matches

Premier League · Upcoming

Model snapshot

Accuracy

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Held-out set

Trained samples –

Log loss –

Brier score –

Calibrated to odds Yes

Feature-rich match modelling

Team indices, attack/defence strength, xG-style proxies, form, rest days and bookmaker implied probabilities are all fed into the model to estimate home/draw/away goal distributions.

Calibrated 1X2 probabilities

Every fixture gets fair home / draw / away probabilities, tuned on past seasons instead of blindly trusting odds.

Edge vs closing prices

WinMatic compares its probabilities to live market odds and flags spots where model value is significantly higher.

Full audit trail

Predictions, edges and results are stored so you can track hit rates, ROI and model drift over time.

Contact

WinMatic is currently a personal project. Extend this section later with real contact details or a form.

What our users say

Early users are already following WinMatic’s edges every weekend.

“I stopped betting every match and just follow the value picks. Much less stress and I’m finally tracking in profit.”

Ruben S.

Weekend punter

“The model doesn’t win every time, but over a full month the results are way better than my old ‘gut feeling’ bets.”

James T.

Football fan for 15+ years

“I use WinMatic to sanity-check my accas. If the model hates a leg, I just remove it. My slips look a lot smarter now.”

Alex M.

Accumulator enjoyer